NZ diplomacy: The budget buzz cut

by Alex Oliver - 23 May 2013 2:39PM

In what is becoming an annual ritual after the Australian budget for Foreign Affairs and Trade has been handed down, I take a look at how DFAT's New Zealand counterpart fared in its own budget-cut fest. The NZ Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade 'Estimates of Appropriations' usually make Australia's DFAT look flush by comparison.

MFAT has had a turbulent few years, with the massive cuts threatened a couple of years ago wound back after something of a furore exploded in the (then) new minister's face. Cabinet papers dealing with the Government's reversal were leaked, allegedly by someone within MFAT, and the whole affair is now subject to investigation and judicial review.

2012 was to have been, on my interpretation, 'quite a good year' for MFAT. Turns out the 2012-13 budget might have involved a bit of fancy footwork by the NZ Treasury, because 2012 was in fact a horror year for MFAT. Expenditure was 11.5% down on the budgeted numbers, and the eventual estimated actual expenditure was 14% lower than the previous year's 2011-12 spend. By any measure, that's a big haircut.

That puts into context what looks like a relative budget hike this year – the NZ$505 million given to MFAT is NZ$122 million more than was spent last year, but only after two years of fairly savage cuts.

read more

Australia's consular conundrum in Dubai

by Alex Oliver - 21 May 2013 1:50PM

The harsh sentencing of Australian businessman Matthew Joyce in Dubai yesterday brings into sharp relief the Government's messaging on consular matters and the problems it encounters regularly in dealing with what I've called Australia's consular conundrum.

The conundrum is multi-dimensional, but one key aspect is this: Australians are traveling and living overseas in greater numbers than ever, and they are becoming more demanding of government to assist them when they encounter difficulties overseas. At the same time, political leaders respond to public and media pressure to service high-profile cases, raising public expectations of what governments can do to assist the nation's citizens in distress overseas.

Mr Joyce's family must be devastated. Various accounts of the case suggest at the very least that he has been subject to lengthy delays in having his case heard, and there are reports of related legal decisions in Australia which have not been taken into account in the Dubai courts. Dubai is not part of the UAE federal judicial system, and it has its own court system. Its ability to manage financial crimes has been called into question in the past, and there have been reports of harsh penalties for what Australians might regard as trivial offences.  

No matter how much we wish otherwise, Australians traveling and working in places with different political and legal systems and religious frameworks are subject to those systems and, on occasion, their vagaries and injustices. In responding to cases like those of Matthew Joyce, our government, and particularly our foreign minister, should clearly spell out the limits of Australia's ability to intervene in the legal systems of other nations. Julie Bishop made that point this morning. Foreign Minister Bob Carr did not.

Senator Carr has made 'more than 40' representations to the UAE Government and Ms Bishop has made it clear that she would do the same if in government, saying 'we would do all we could to make representations' to the UAE Government in an attempt to secure the fair and speedy resolution of Mr Joyce's case.

There is no doubt that the Australian Government, and its diplomats, will do their best to assist Mr Joyce and his family. But there is a doubt that their efforts will be successful, and that is a message that must be made clear to Australian citizens overseas.

Photo by Flickr user The Comedian.

DFAT budget: All pain, no gain

by Alex Oliver - 15 May 2013 2:16PM

DFAT's budget pain drags on. Last year's announcement of two new diplomatic missions – one in China (Chengdu) and one in Francophone Africa (Dakar, Senegal) – suggested a modest turnaround in DFAT's fortunes.

But of course it's not the fortune of DFAT that's at stake; it's the fortune of the nation.

In its Asian Century White Paper, this Government demonstrated a level of acceptance of the argument we've been making ad infinitum that Australia's overseas network needs rebuilding after decades of running-down. For Australia to prosper and profit from the opportunities generated as our region undergoes massive transformation, we should have a foreign affairs department at the peak of its capabilities and a foreign service representing Australia across the globe.

Far from rising to the challenges of the Asian Century, successive governments have almost halved DFAT's allocation over the last decade as a proportion of government expenditure, from 0.63% in 2002 to 0.35% in 2012. Looking at the last few years' inflation-adjusted data, there have been bad years (2008 was a shocker), better years (2009 was an attempt at redemption), and successive years of grinding efficiency cuts, peaking at 4% last year.

This year is no better or maybe even a little worse. The heralded Senegal mission is postponed, and we're closing Budapest. For Pete's sake, with a diplomatic network that's one of the smallest in the developed world and the smallest in the G20, we're closing posts?

Defending the closures, Foreign Minister Bob Carr insists there will be no staff cuts. The Budget papers released by his Government would appear to disagree:

read more

PNG's new generation: An interview with the Attorney-General

by Alex Oliver - 15 January 2013 1:30PM

Late last year I traveled to Port Moresby to interview some of PNG's newly elected MPs for the Lowy Institute's Leadership Mapping Project. Earlier interviews in this latest series were with Deputy Opposition leader Sam Basil, and one of the three female MPs, Governor Julie Soso.

One of the most interesting discussions I had during my week in Port Moresby was with the new Attorney-General, the Hon Kerenga Kua. He is new to both the portfolio and to parliament, although politics formed a definite part of his very clear career plan.

Kua has had a distinguished career in law, having been a founding partner in a successful commercial law practice in Port Moresby for 19 years after a 5-year stint in Sydney with the Australian firm Blake Dawson Waldron. His goal, he told me in October, was to establish a sound financial footing for himself and his family so he would not be vulnerable to the notorious corruption which infects PNG politics.

The Attorney-General has featured in the Australian press over the last week because the 'colourful' Opposition Leader, Belden Namah, is suing the government in the Supreme Court in an attempt to close down the Manus Island processing centre. While Namah says the court action is entirely motivated a desire to uphold PNG's constitution, his words suggest a slightly deeper agenda, telling ABC radio 'we can't go outside of our constitution, outside of our laws to try and please our friends.'

read more

PNG's new generation: An interview with Governor Julie Soso

by Alex Oliver - 28 November 2012 2:15PM

In October I spent a week in Port Moresby interviewing some of PNG's newly elected MPs for the Lowy Institute's Leadership Mapping Project. This work continues our earlier survey work in PNG which was interrupted by the constitutional crises in late 2011 and early this year. The elections in June 2012 confirmed Peter O'Neill as prime minister and seem to have stabilised PNG's notoriously volatile democracy.

The first interview in this latest series was with Deputy Opposition Leader The Hon Sam Basil MP, who has teamed with former Deputy PM Belden Namah to lead the somewhat diminutive 17-member opposition to the O'Neill Government.

In this interview I talk with Julie Soso, the newly elected Governor of the Eastern Highlands province. Julie Soso is a member of the Triumph Heritage Empowerment Party, which is part of the governing coalition led by Prime Minister O'Neill. Before becoming a governor and an MP, Soso was a radio broadcaster and a powerful advocate for the issues and inequities confronting women in PNG. In our interview, Soso maps her rise in PNG politics, discusses the challenges for women in PNG and candidly considers the influence of her father on her public life.

read more

PNG's new generation: An interview with Sam Basil MP

by Alex Oliver - 26 November 2012 3:28PM

At the end of October this year, I traveled to Papua New Guinea as part of the Lowy Institute's Leadership Mapping Project to interview Papua New Guinean leaders about their careers, motivations and aspirations for their country. I timed my visit to to coincide with the first real sitting of the new parliament following the elections in June, in which only 40 of the 109 sitting MPs were re-elected (37%) — a low number even by PNG's volatile standards.

Among the leaders interviewed was The Hon Sam Basil MP, Deputy Opposition Leader in this parliament, only the ninth since PNG's independence in 1975. This is Basil's second term in parliament, first elected in 2007 and briefly serving as Minister for Planning in the constitutionally-challenged O'Neill Government in 2011-12.

In this parliament, Basil has joined forces with Belden Namah, formerly O'Neill's deputy prime minister but not included in the new coalition government. Namah now leads the 17 MPs who form the Opposition in PNG's new 111-member parliament.

Above are some extracts from my interview with Basil, in which he talks about the problems confronting his nation, PNG's promise ('an island of gold, floating on oil') and the outlook for PNG's new generation of leaders ('they have their work cut out for them').

DFAT Secretary pulls no punches as he departs for Defence

by Alex Oliver - 8 November 2012 9:00AM

Annual reports are not noted for their fast pace or thrill factor. They contain lists of activities and achievements; they laboriously detail outputs and summarise outcomes. They sugar-coat and they are often self-congratulatory.

So the 2011-2012 DFAT Annual Report, released two weeks ago, was not expected to walk off the shelves. There was no fanfare, no media release. It was just quietly listed on the DFAT website, and I stumbled on it while looking for some financial data.

But it deserves a much broader audience than the occasional bean-counting researcher. The Secretary's Review, traditionally a fairly anodyne piece, is a beautifully written, candid, panoramic (yet enchantingly brief) assessment of the challenges facing not just the Department but the Australian nation in the conduct of its foreign affairs.

It is the valedictory gift of former DFAT Secretary Dennis Richardson, appointed as Secretary of Defence in mid-October, the cover letter written three days before his commencement at Defence. It's a compelling parting gesture from a 'gritty and fearless' diplomatic stalwart.

Richardson has been a staunch advocate of the Department from the moment he took on the job, and his determination to rebuild it in the face of relentless budget pressures was unwavering. So as not to destroy the eloquence by clumsy paraphrasing, the Secretary's summary of the four big challenges facing the nation is reproduced in full below.

Watch out for some spinning tin hats over there at Defence.

read more

Rebuilding Australia's diplomatic network...when circumstances allow

by Alex Oliver - 30 October 2012 8:58AM

This post is part of a debate - click here to see how this debate started and developed.

Two significant reports have been released in the past two days which, if their recommendations are followed, should have a considerable impact on the health of Australia's diplomatic network: Sunday's White Paper on Australia in the Asian Century and the report released yesterday by the Joint Standing Committee on Foreign Affairs, Defence and Trade, Australia's Overseas Representation – Punching Below Our Weight? The content of the latter makes the question mark redundant.

 

First, the White Paper. It recognises that, while Australia faces growing competition in the region, our level of diplomatic representation is less than that of comparable countries and has been falling over the past decade.

To address this deficit, the White Paper makes the categorical claim that 'Australia's diplomatic network will have a larger footprint across Asia'. But it is far less categorical about the specifics, stating that 'when circumstances allow, (Australia will) open a full embassy in Ulaanbaatar (Mongolia) and consulates in Shenyang (China), Phuket (Thailand) and in eastern Indonesia'.

Referring to the considerable body of work the Institute has produced over the past four years, including frequently on this blog, on the health of Australia's diplomatic network, Michael Fullilove asked the Prime Minister here at the Institute on Sunday: 'How big a national priority is it for us to bulk up our network of embassies and posts around the world, especially in our region?' The Prime Minister's answer:

read more

Wednesday linkage: presidents, subs, Philippines, Huawei, nukes

by Alex Oliver - 17 October 2012 2:54PM

  • An infographic from degreejungle.com neatly compares the cost of educating the contenders in the US presidential contest
  • Australia is better off buying US submarines rather than developing our own, according to provocative Kokoda Foundation chair and defence analyst Ross Babbage. (Thanks Danielle)
  • Rare good news from the Southern Philippines: the Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF) has signed a deal with President Benigno Aquino's government, reports International Crisis Group's Bryony Lau. For an inside view of the peace negotiations see Steven Rood's recent blog post. (Thanks Dave)
  • Is Huawei a threat to the US? No, writes Trevor Timm in Foreign Policy, disagreeing with the US House Intelligence Committee: '[The report] – at least the unclassified version – is full of sound and fury, [but] is almost devoid of anything conclusively connecting Huawei and ZTE with the charges levied against them.' And see what US 60 Minutes has to say about it. (Thanks Linda)
  • Before his only public address (at the Lowy Institute) while visiting Australia earlier this month, International Atomic Energy Agency Executive Director Yukiya Amano talked with Lowy Deputy Director Martine Letts about the Iranian nuclear threat and the post-Fukushima nuclear environment.

Monday linkage: maths, China, free speech, Burma, security app

by Alex Oliver - 15 October 2012 12:20PM

Tuesday linkage: Indo-Pacific, drones, US foreign policy, amateur journos

by Alex Oliver - 9 October 2012 5:15PM

'Abandoned' Pippi Bean and Carr's consular conundrum

by Alex Oliver - 9 October 2012 9:33AM

Following aid-worker Alexandra ('Pippi') Bean's safe departure from Libya last week, Foreign Minister Bob Carr felt compelled last Friday to issue a press release explaining the Australian government's handling of the case, in an attempt to fend off a barrage of criticism from the media, Ms Bean and her family for 'abandoning' her at her 'lowest point'.

Seven months into the job, Senator Carr is beginning to comprehend the intractability of the consular conundrum: managing the soaring demand for consular services from an Australian travelling public which takes more than 8 million overseas trips each year, while resisting the temptation to rescue every Australian in trouble overseas, no matter how worthy the case.

read more

UK-Canada diplomatic sharing

by Alex Oliver - 26 September 2012 11:32AM

Foreign ministers of the UK and Canada yesterday announced that their two nations have signed a memorandum of understanding on Enhancing Mutual Support at Missions Abroad

The announcement has generated a small torrent of speculation and alarm from the press in both countries and further afield – perhaps because of the lack of detail in the official communiques. There's even been some tabloid anti-EU speculation that for the UK, the deal is designed to counter the influence of the EU's massive European External Action Service.

The barrage of criticism has already prompted some rapid backpedalling by Canadian Foreign Affairs Minister John Baird, who said the arrangements were 'merely administrative' and that each nation will maintain an independent foreign policy.

So, what's in the deal? In a press release, the UK Foreign & Commonwealth Office described the MoU in terms which are both broad and tantalisingly undefined:

[It is about] closer co-operation between our foreign ministries, enabling us to increase our cooperation and maximise our reach and impact. [It is about] how two foreign ministries, with common goals, can work together on shared values. It is about speed, flexibility, practicality and saving the taxpayer money in both countries.  But it is also about being able to operate effectively in a networked world. 

In the same announcement, some of the specifics start to emerge: 'the agreement will see Canada and the United Kingdom make the most of their respective diplomatic resources by exploring further co-location, as well as collaboration on consular services.' In other words, not earth-shatteringly new. 

read more

The Melinda Taylor case: Implications

by Alex Oliver - 6 August 2012 1:48PM

Almost exactly one month ago today, Melinda Taylor, a lawyer with the International Criminal Court, was released from custody by the Libyan authorities who had arrested and detained her in Zintan for 26 days in June and July. Ms Taylor was in Libya in the course of her official duties representing Muammar Qhadhafi's son, Saif al-Islam, who stands accused of war crimes during the Libyan revolution.

Ms Taylor's detention, and the manner in which the Australian Government secured her release, throw up some important principles of international law and the practice of diplomacy. In this brief video snapshot, I outline these principles — the right to consular access, the immunity from detention and prosecution held by international civil servants — and discuss how these rights were treated by the Libyan authorities, by the Australian Government and our new foreign minister, and by the ICC itself.

This was an extremely sensitive and important case, involving risk to the life and liberty of an Australian citizen. The heavy involvement of Bob Carr, however, may have significant implications for the conduct of Australia's diplomacy in the future, and place even more strain on Australia's capacity to manage its consular burden.

Reader riposte: Evacuations from Syria

by Alex Oliver - 26 July 2012 11:18AM

In response to my post on UK's apparent readiness for a civilian evacuation from Syria, reader Jonathan Darby posted the following. My comments follow:

Whilst I don't like to get in the way of a good story, did you by any chance check the MoD official blog? There you might have read this response:

Response Force Task Group
The Daily Telegraph carried an article on Saturday about the routine autumn deployment of the Royal Navy's Response Force Task Group. The report suggested that one potential role of the Task Group was an evacuation of British nationals from Syria and surrounding nations. In fact, no evacuation has been planned or ordered by the Foreign and Commonwealth Office which has been advising against all travel to Syria since April 2011.

The Foreign Office has urged British nationals in Syria to leave by commercial means while these are still available. The Government has repeatedly made clear, using a wide variety of communications, that those who choose to remain in Syria, or visit against our clear and unambiguous advice should be aware that we are unable to provide normal Consular services.

read more

UK ready for Syria evacuation. Are we?

by Alex Oliver - 25 July 2012 2:04PM

A report emerged this week (thanks Sam) that the UK is gearing up for a possible mass evacuation of British citizens from Syria, with a helicopter carrier and amphibious assault ship to be deployed to the Eastern Mediterranean for exercises after the Olympic Games finish. The exercise has evidently been planned for some time and isn't a direct response to events in Syria, but according to the UK Telegraph, the flotilla could be used to evacuate British citizens from the Middle East if needed.

The French will join the exercise too, with an aircraft carrier, escort ships and a strike force of Rafale fighters.

The Royal Navy's readiness looks to be one result of some serious thinking, rigorous 'lessons learned' processes, parliamentary inquiries and internal reviews since the Arab Spring crises of early 2011. The UK's Foreign & Commonwealth Office was caught unawares at the time of these crises by the hugely politicised response and the dramatically ramped-up expectations of travelers seeking 11th hour rescues. As one observer pointed out to me at the time, the UK 'used to have a very clear policy about what we would offer (in those circumstances). We destroyed it a couple of months ago'.

Evacuations are a huge 'moral hazard' for foreign ministries, with citizens taking risks in the knowledge that their government, and not they, will bear the ultimate responsibility in the event of disaster. Judging by the activity and comments on social media sites in response to FCO releases, Britons were still heading off to Egypt in droves in early February despite the escalating conflict. Though the UK Government urged its citizens in Libya to avail themselves of the still-operating commercial flights before the situation descended into chaos, there were still hundreds of civilians seeking government-assisted evacuation when violence broke out in late February 2011.

read more

DFAT: Starting to master its languages

by Alex Oliver - 18 July 2012 12:24PM

The news from the RG Casey building, home of DFAT in Canberra, has been improving of late under the stewardship of DFAT Secretary Dennis Richardson. The most recent is a promising revelation in Senate Estimates that the Department is increasing its investment in language training for diplomats:

This is welcome news, given the long-standing bipartisan neglect of Australia's foreign affairs infrastructure, particularly the Department of Foreign Affairs, which is at the forefront in managing Australia's international relations. We've drawn attention to this neglect over the past few years here at the Lowy Institute.

One of the key findings in our original 2009 report on Australia's diplomatic infrastructure was the degradation of crucial language skills in the Department. Investment in language training was erratic, at best. Our later report showed a promising uptick in expenditure from 2010. And in May Senate Estimates Mr Richardson confirmed a further increase in investment for the 2011-12 year, to $6.1 million (more than double what was being spent in 2009, as shown in the chart above).

According to the Secretary, DFAT reviewed its language needs in 2010 and discovered some gaps: Arabic, Farsi, Korean, Thai and Turkish.

read more

PNG elections: Meet the candidates III

by Alex Oliver - 17 July 2012 8:35AM

After 8 years at Ok Tedi Mining and 16 years in agriculture, Allan Bird is an agribusiness expert running for the seat of his home district, the province of East Sepik. He is 39 and married with nine children.

Allan joined Ok Tedi (then owned by BHP) aged nineteen after starting a science degree, and was part of BHP's 'high potential national' scheme, rising to second in charge of OH&S before leaving to pursue an agricultural business which he had started while at Ok Tedi. He is still known as the 'Vanilla King', with agricultural interests extending beyond vanilla production to crocodile, cocoa, coconuts, piggeries and poultry. He is passionate about wealth creation in PNG, going from village to village teaching subsistence farmers how to grow, harvest and process vanilla for profit. His goal is to reverse the rural-urban drift, which is causing huge unemployment problems in PNG's cities.

Apart from his agricultural interests, Allan is a consultant, providing agribusiness advice to PNG Sustainable Development. He has been an adviser to the Office of the Chief Secretary of GoPNG and co-chaired the Wealth Creation Pillar in the PNG National Strategic Planning Taskforce in 2009, assisting in the development of the Papua New Guinea Vision 2050.

A participant in our Leadership Mapping research project, and the latest in our series of PNG election candidate interviews, Allan canvasses in this video some possible solutions to the corruption flourishing in PNG society. He has some startling data on public servant pay and the cost of living in modern-day PNG. It's worth viewing right to the end of this 7-minute interview — apart from his brutally honest insights into the corruption problem, Allan has some pithy observations about motives of the private sector in PNG.

PNG elections: Meet the candidates II

by Alex Oliver - 10 July 2012 3:38PM

Last week we began a series of posts introducing candidates in the 2012 PNG elections, kicking off with my conversation with the Hon Bart Philemon, PNG's Minister for Public Service and standing for an impressive fifth term of parliament.

The next candidate in our series is Sir Kina Bona KBE, who until this election was Chairman of the Integrity of Political Parties and Candidates Commission and Registrar of the Political Parties and Candidates Commission. I interviewed Sir Kina during my research visit to Port Moresby in pursuit of subjects for our leadership mapping survey

The charter of the Integrity Commission which Sir Kina chaired is to protect national parliamentary elections from outside or hidden influences. One of Sir Kina's roles as Chair was to review the 2001 Organic Law on Integrity of Political Parties and Candidates (OLIPPAC), designed to strengthen the integrity of the PNG political system and government. Since the Supreme Court found key sections of the OLIPPAC unconstitutional in 2010, the law requires a major overhaul. When I interviewed him in December, Sir Kina told me he was in the 'quite drastic' process of redrafting the law.

read more

PNG elections: Meet the candidates

by Alex Oliver - 3 July 2012 2:22PM

The 2012 election in Papua New Guinea is well underway, with polling commencing on 23 June and due to finish at the end of this week. Because of the complexity of party politics in PNG, however, and the high number of candidates and small political parties, the result won't be known until at least the end of July.

When I was in Port Moresby in December last year for the first phase of our leadership mapping project there, I interviewed a number of sitting MPs and aspiring candidates about their careers, leadership roles and thoughts about the plethora of problems that will confront the incoming government. Over the next few weeks, I will excerpt the best of these interviews in an attempt to introduce some of the candidates who might appear in the new government.

Among these fascinating interviews was one with Bartholomew Philemon, Minister for Public Service in the current O'Neill Government. You can see above his frank assessment of the political situation in PNG.

read more

MFAT survives NZ 'zero budget'

by Alex Oliver - 29 May 2012 4:08PM

The New Zealand Government released its budget last Thursday. Given the general gloom and the somewhat hyperbolic media reporting on the major change program going on at New Zealand's Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade (MFAT), what was widely publicised as the 'zero' budget appears to be something of a reprieve for the beleaguered New Zealand foreign ministry. 2012 has seen enough nasty surprises already.

New Zealand has a reputation for an exceptional foreign affairs performance. Its foreign service has been hailed as 'the highest-quality and most cost-effective foreign service in the world'. Even more so than in Australia, New Zealand's geographical isolation and far flung interests mean that its diplomacy is a critical element in maintaining its international influence, trading and investment ties and ultimately, the nation's prosperity.

So the Ministry's ambitious restructuring program, begun last year under Chief Executive John Allen, has caused considerable disquiet.

read more

Rebuilding DFAT, post by post

by Alex Oliver - 14 May 2012 7:49AM

Over the last few years, various people at the Lowy Institute have argued strongly that Australia is under-represented diplomatically in the world. Australia lags behind most of the developed world, with 95 posts across 77 of the 193 UN member states.

The running down of the Department is not new — it is the result of bipartisan neglect over more than two decades. Twenty-five years ago, Australia's overseas diplomatic corps was a third larger than it is now. Other government departments now outnumber Australia's diplomats at our overseas missions, yet it is those diplomats who are at the frontline of Australia's international presence.

In what looks like the beginnings of a modest turnaround, in the last two months, DFAT has announced two new posts in areas of high strategic importance: in Tuesday's budget came news of a new post for Dakar in Senegal, Australia's first in Francophone Africa. In late March, Bob Carr's third announcement after assuming his role as Foreign Minister was that Australia would establish a new consulate-general in Chengdu, in western China.

These announcements come fairly swiftly on the heels of two joint parliamentary inquiries; one on Australia's relationship with Africa and an ongoing one on Australia's overseas diplomatic representation. In announcing hearings in the current inquiry, Subcommittee chair Nick Champion MP cited our calls over the last few years for 20 new missions in high priority areas such as western China and eastern Indonesia.

Appearing on parliament's website only two days ago are the latest submissions to the inquiry. The last, from DFAT, is a goldmine, particularly the response to this question from Michael Danby as Chair of the Joint Committee, to DFAT Secretary Dennis Richardson:

read more

DFAT budget: On the mend?

by Alex Oliver - 10 May 2012 9:21AM

For a modestly-funded department with an operating budget of around $900 million, budget time has been pretty scary for the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade these last few years.

The 2008 budget (Rudd's first) slashed $120 million and 43 positions from a department already starved of resources from cuts by successive governments, even while the rest of the public sector was enjoying the boom. The 2009 budget looked promising, but that was before the mid-year economic outlook shaved off $100 million. There were modest increases in 2010, but more savings measures of $30 million in 2011. Add to that the euphemistically-labeled annual 'efficiency dividends' of 1.25%, climbing to 1.5% in 2011 and then 2.5 % on the top of that, announced late last year.

So Tuesday night's DFAT budget was, if not a pleasant surprise, not a complete disaster either.

Naturally, new Foreign Minister Bob Carr was delighted to announce funding for a new embassy in Dakar, Senegal, Australia's first in Francophone Africa. This comes after a parliamentary inquiry into Australia's relations with Africa and an ongoing one into Australia's overseas diplomatic network. Bob is having a field day. He also got to announce another new post in Chengdu, western China, back in March (a Rudd legacy).

Seems someone might have been listening when we warned repeatedly that Australia's interests were in peril if we continued to run down our diplomatic network. Back in 2009, we called for 20 new posts for DFAT to begin to rebuild the overseas network which represents Australia's interests globally. We reiterated that call last year.

read more

In defence of the Australia Network

by Alex Oliver - 18 April 2012 6:21PM

In what could only be described as a complete pasting, Professor Judith Sloan has called for the axing of Australia's international television broadcaster, the Australia Network, dubbing it 'repetitive, pointless tosh'. Scrapping the service would save taxpayers millions of dollars, Sloan argues, largely based on what she saw of the service during a recent trip around Asia.

In the rapid-fire commentary around the Government decision to kill the tender process for the Network (about which we have had much to say here at the Lowy Institute) there have been others who, rather more gently, urged a review of the ABC's approach to the Australia Network. The AFR's Tony Walker argued for a 'professional and effective' service, with 'quality programming with an emphasis on news and current affairs...The ABC needs some of its best reporters, editors and anchors to be involved. A rebranded ABC Australia cannot serve as a dumping ground for the second-rate.'

The Australia Network's content mix is obviously important, and there may well be scope for an independent review looking at whether programming meets audience needs and the service's objectives. That review would no doubt involve a methodical and scientific survey of content, audience perceptions and satisfaction, which would remove the temptation to make snap decisions based on random anecdotal evidence.

However, Sloan's conclusion that 'any notion that a contribution is being made to the soft diplomatic effort of Australia is simply laughable' is worth looking at.

read more

DFAT: A small step into western China

by Alex Oliver - 20 March 2012 5:04PM

In only his third media release as Foreign Minister, Senator Bob Carr has today announced (together with the Prime Minister and Minister for Trade and Competitiveness) that Australia will open 'as soon as possible' a new Consulate-General in Chengdu, western China.

As Mr Carr explains, Chengdu is a 'major gateway' to inland China, a threshold the Australian Government has only today resolved to cross. Although China is now our largest trading partner with nearly one hundred cities of populations exceeding five million, Australia has had until now only three diplomatic posts there, and those only on the coast: Beijing, Shanghai and Guangzhou. The Chengdu post will serve a population of more than 14 million, will service the Sichuan province of 80 million, and will be Australia's first diplomatic undertaking in inland China (Austrade already has a presence there, but it doesn't offer diplomatic or consular services).

This new post is a positive move and a recognition that Australia's international network needs significant rebuilding if Australia is to maintain its prosperity and protect its international interests.

Interestingly, DFAT Secretary Dennis Richardson, in last night's final hearing in the ongoing Parliamentary inquiry on Australia's overseas representation, gave no hint of any announcement, saying only that an expansion of Australia's representation in Western China was 'being considered', along with a new mission in West Africa. Perhaps today's announcement was made to end the speculation that followed Kevin Rudd's farewell remarks to DFAT, in which he heralded new posts in western China and Francophone Africa. Or perhaps it was an attempt to move on from last week's escapades in the Pacific

Whatever the reason, this should be seen for what it is: a small step in the right direction, where giant leaps are required. The investment of one new post in western China is a fraction of the reinvestment required in Australia's overseas network. Our 95 missions (96 if you add the new Chengdu post) covering 193 UN member states falls lamentably short of the OECD average of 133 missions. That's 37 missions below the average, despite Australia having the 13th largest economy in the world.

Photo by Flickr user JanneM.

DFAT speaks up

by Alex Oliver - 19 March 2012 3:24PM

Tonight's final hearing in the Joint Parliamentary inquiry into Australia's overseas representation will be an interesting one. The Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade will make its second appearance in the inquiry, answering further questions from the bipartisan Joint Standing Committee on Foreign Affairs, Defence and Trade about Australia's diplomatic footprint, DFAT staffing numbers, language skills, attitudes to communications and its embryonic ediplomacy (such as its websites and use of new media platforms).

It seems from the number of submissions (from business, industry, the diplomatic corps, academe and bureaucracy) and from the depth of questions from both sides of parliament that there has been quite an intense interest in the contraction of Australia's overseas network, and, more importantly, in how (or whether) to remedy that.

For us at the Lowy Institute, the inquiry is a long-awaited investigation into the erosion of Australia's diplomatic capacity over the last few decades, something we've pointed to in reports such as Australia's Diplomatic Deficit, A Digital DFAT, Diplomatic Disrepair, and with almost monotonous regularity on this blog.

DFAT, or at least its Secretary, Dennis Richardson, has cagily agreed with our arguments. Evidence he has given in various Estimates and inquiry hearings is peppered with comments like:

  • '...our effort has been more thinly spread...' (May 2011 Estimates).
  • '...the situation still remains very, very tight...' (June 20 2011 Estimates).
  • '...we have now fallen off the pack (in China), and I believe we are underdone...' (October 2011 Estimates).

In our own submission to the inquiry, made late last month, Fergus Hanson, Andrew Shearer and I reiterated our long-held view that Australia's diplomatic infrastructure is out-dated and inadequate, and DFAT's ediplomacy rooted in the last century. Performing on an increasingly complex and challenging global stage, Australia's international network is deficient.

read more

5-minute Lowy lunch: Jamie Briggs MP

by Alex Oliver - 23 February 2012 2:13PM

 

For our latest 5-minute Lowy lunch, I interviewed one of Australia's newest and youngest MPs, the Liberal Member for Mayo, Jamie Briggs. Jamie won the by-election for Mayo in 2008 after the retirement of former Foreign Minister Alexander Downer.

Yesterday, Jamie delivered an impassioned plea for Australia to resist the temptation to slide back into the bad old days of protectionism. With a dazzling array of statistics, he illustrated why free trade is good for all Australians, whether they be agricultural exporters to China or urban Australians benefiting from lower-cost consumer goods. Even if the Eurozone countries increase tariffs or introduce new barriers, Jamie argued that Australia will still be better off if it stands firm and maintains Australia's open trading stance.

You can listen to Jamie's brief (6-minute) version of his speech here.

You can listen here.

Photo by Flickr user mugley.

Lowy among world's top think tanks

by Alex Oliver - 31 January 2012 3:16PM

The 2012 Global Go-To Think Tanks Rankings were released last week, ranking the Lowy Institute again in the top 30 Global think tanks outside the US and fifth in Asia – its highest-ever ranking.

The only survey of its kind, the University of Pennsylvania's rankings take on the unenviable and unwieldy task of trying to identify, and then rank, the 6000-odd think tanks in the world (nearly 2000 of which are in North America – hence the methodology of ranking think tanks outside the US separately).

Each year since the rankings began in 2008, the process has been refined. There are still some idiosyncrasies, though: for example, in the first of two overall ranking lists (the first excludes US institutions while the second includes them), European think tank SIPRI comes second, after only Chatham House, while in the next list it ranks behind Chatham House, Amnesty International, Transparency International, the International Crisis Group, the German SWP, IISS and Bruegel.

Quibbles aside, the Lowy Institute continues to build its reputation as one of the most globally influential think tanks. Aside from its top-30 ranking, it achieves fifth place in Asia (its highest ever ranking), behind much older and more established institutions such as the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences and the Japan Institute of International Affairs.

read more

DFAT needs a movie star

by Alex Oliver - 4 November 2011 3:00PM

In a bid to defend itself against congressional calls for cuts to the State Department budget, it appears State has recruited the star power of Michael Douglas. Douglas was quoted in Business Week yesterday saying:

Congress is way out of line,” Douglas told reporters. Diplomacy “takes a long time, it’s quiet, but it’s a lot cheaper than a war.

At the Lowy Institute, we've been saying that for a while. Our 2009 Diplomatic Deficit and this year's Diplomatic Disrepair reports have called for significant reinvestment in Australia's diplomatic network, run down after successive governments' inattention and under-resourcing. It’s a call that even the Secretary of the Department, Dennis Richardson, has cautiously welcomed, with testimony in Estimates last week:

To put it simply in a broad context I would agree with the general proposition that we are underdone in our international representation.

It appears that at least some in parliament agree, with the Joint Standing Committee on Foreign Affairs, Defence and Trade announcing last month an inquiry into Australia's overseas representation, focusing on the geographic location and spread of Australia's diplomatic posts, the appropriate level of staffing, the effect of ediplomacy and the activities at post.

While in Australia we have our own high profile foreign minister (although he's not quite Hillary), perhaps we too need to call in the star power to finally get some attention on Australia's languishing diplomacy.

Ideas, anyone?

Photo by Flickr user fredcamino.

5-minute Lowy Lunch: AusAID today

by Alex Oliver - 14 October 2011 11:56AM

AusAID Director-General Peter Baxter gave this week's Wednesday Lowy Lunch lecture, delivering a spirited defence of Australia's aid budget, which you can listen to here. While AusAID has endured criticism over inefficient use of costly external consultants, Mr Baxter pointed out that Australia's geopolitical circumstances warrant continued bipartisan support of a boosted aid program.

Mr Baxter took the time to give me a short interview after his speech, which you can listen to here:

You can listen here.

(Ed. note: Apologies for sub-par audio quality; turn up your speakers!)

older posts 
Lowy Institute for International Policy
Australia in the Asian Century

An Interpreter feature which ran from March to September of 2012, published to debate the Gillard Government's 'Australia in the Asian Century' White Paper, then in its research and consultation phase. Click here to see every post published in this series.

For commentary on the published White Paper, click here.

Australia's Defence Challenges

An Interpreter feature exploring Australia's defence challenges as the 2013 Defence White Paper planning process begins. Click here to see every post published in this series.

Selected Interpreter posts also appear in:

 
Business Spectator Caing online The Diplomat
 

Keep up-to-date with The Interpreter through:

iPhone App   iPhone App

RSS Feed   The Interpreter RSS Feed

Email Digest  

To receive a digest of posts from The Interpreter via email, enter your email address:

Receive a daily digest ->
Receive a weekly digest ->

Preview   |   Powered by FeedBlitz

Interpreting the Aid Review

This is the archive of a Lowy Institute blog which ran from January to April of 2011. It was published to debate the Gillard Government's independent aid review, which was then in its research and consultation phase. We offer this archive as a service to researchers and the general public.