by Sam Roggeveen
-
5 May 2008 6:17PM
CIA Director Michael Hayden recently gave a
powerhouse speech about global trends, in which he says that one of the surest paths to an intelligence breakdown is a failure of imagination. It is indeed common for political experts of all kinds to assume that the future will look more or less like the present, with a few incremental changes of a similar kind to those already seen. Seldom do we anticipate (much less prepare for) radical change. And it's a tendency not confined to the political world: in a
must-read interview, Google co-founder Larry Page expresses his frustration at failures of imagination.
